Thursday, June 19, 2008

Third World S***hole Number 1: Chad

A mostly desert nation of about 10.1 million people (about 80% of which are either subsistence farmers or herdsmen), Chad has remained in the top ten poorest nations in the world since becoming independent in 1960. Currently (according to the CIA) Chad has a life expectancy of 47 years and a literacy rate of 48% (which by the way is misleading because under Chadian law, you are literate if you can read either Arabic or French, and many who are literate cannot read both). For most of its history, the people of what is now Chad were clan based farmers and herders who back in the Middle Ages converted to Islam. In the late 19th century, France moved in and took over this desert region hoping that it would prove to be rich in minerals, but the region was soon neglected. During its rule, France founded the first real urban areas, and brought modernization to the area. French rule also introduced Christianity to the area that became Chad; currently, 53% of Chadians are Muslim, 20% are Catholic and 14% are Protestant - interestingly, while religion is factor of division in many other African nations, religion has never been a big player in Chad, and Christians and Muslims have peaceful relations.


When France left Chad in 1960, the nation quickly fell into violence and corruption as rebellions broke out in rural areas and the Office of the President became unstable as Presidents came and went due to coups and rebellions. Ethnic strife also became common as members of the nine major ethnic groups (as well as other smaller ethnic groups and clans) fought for power in a political system that was based on patronage, favoritism, and kickbacks.


Since 1990, Chad has been run by this man, General Idriss Deby



Deby (a native of the Sahara region in the north) got his start in the Chadian army in the 1970's when his intelligence was recognized and he was sent to France for training and study. After returning, he teamed up with Hissene Harbe, a former rebel leader who overthrew the government and became president in 1982. During the Harbe years (which saw over 40,000 political killings), Deby rose to the top of the military but in 1989 a rift between the two occurred and Deby fled to Sudan. A year later he returned with a rebel group of his own (financed by Sudan and - according to some human rights groups - France). Harbe, very unpopular, fled and in November Deby marched into the capital N'Djamena and declared himself president.



Since coming to power in 1990, Deby has become one of the most corrupt presidents on the planet. As president, Deby has openly favored his ethnic group, the Zagawa, a small group which is one of the smallest in Chad with less than 3% of the population (it doesn't even make the top 9). While Chadians have long been used to Presidents favoring their own, Deby has turned this into an art form, putting almost all his relatives - both close and distant - into all the top jobs. On a day to day basis, corruption has reached epic proportions, with bribe being needed to get about anything done, and if you're a subsistence farmer or herder (in case you forgot they make up 80% of the population), the government has done nothing for you except take men away for the army and take part of the harvest to feed the army.

As President, Deby has maintained good relations with Chad's former colonial overlord, France. Deby is a regular in Paris and has been close to both former President Chirac and current President Sarkozy. Here is a pic from one of Deby's recent trips to Paris to meet Sarkozy.





Deby has also welcomed Chinese investment to this cash strapped nation. Here he is visiting President Hu of China


In case you're wondering what does the fifth poorest nation on Earth has to offer to outside investment, Chad has deposits of limestone, uranium, gold, gravel, salt and oil (though there's alot of dispute on how much oil Chad has to offer and its industry only really got started in the past few years).


Though Deby has had decent relations with the West, he has been fighting a virtual war with his neighbor to the east, Sudan. Though Sudan's President Omar al Bashir and the Sudanese government was Deby's main backer in the 1990 coup, Deby has had a fallout with his former Sudanese backers and the since the late 1990's, the two have been fighting a proxy war by secretly backing rebel groups in each other's nation. Since the late 1990's, the east of Chad has been a nasty battleground as rebel groups backed by Sudan (Western intelligence groups have concluded that Sudan pays for all weapons, ammunition, and trucks the rebels use) fight the Chad army and create havoc on the countryside forcing people to flee. The CIA estimates that about 200,000 Chadians (most from the east) have become refugees in their own country.









In case you're wondering who are these rebels, many are actually army deserters who hated the way they were treated in the army, where nearly all the top officers were Zagawas (remember, this ethnic group makes up less than 3% of the total population), and everyone else was treated like garbage. One group is actually led by a couple of Deby's nephews, who had a fallout with their uncle a few years back.


Now if you take a look at the map of Chad above, you will see the entire east of Chad borders Sudan, and most of that part of Sudan is the province of Durfur. Yes, the Darfur, which is acknowledged by just about everyone to the be the shittiest place on Earth. And yes, Deby and the government of Chad is partly responsible for making Darfur what it is today. Since the late 1990's, Chad has supported rebel groups in Darfur, which prevents any form of peace breaking out. Deby has even allowed most Darfur rebel groups to take refuge in Chad. Meanwhile 300,000 Darfurians have fled into Chad and have found themselves trapped in refugee camps that are in the middle of another war zone


In 2006, Deby ran for reelection (though first he had to change the constitution in order to allow himself a third term). Having rigged the previous 2 elections, the opposition parties refused to take part and the Catholic Church called for a voter boycott. Eventually, a few Deby loyalists were talked into running to make the vote look valid. Here we see Deby and one of his wives voting in N'Djamena.





At first, state run media announced that Deby won with 77% of the vote, but was later lowered to 64%, no explanation was given to this change in results. In ether case, not bad for a man who most experts report to be despised by nearly all of the population.


Since the 2006 elections, Chad has slowly started to implode. In the east, rebel groups go about, for the most part unchallenged, with the army being used to protect the more populated west. In April of 2006, a rebel group marched unopposed to N'Djamena and was repulsed in street fighting. In February of 2008, another group stormed the capital, and after 2 days of vicious fighting, were repelled. Even though both Chad and France denied it, French troops stationed in N'Djamena were important elements in the victory of Deby's forces (it is believed that France uses its air supremacy to locate rebel locations). Here are a couple of scenes from the day after the battle in the capital ended.







During the 2 day battle, many of N'Djamena's 700,000 people fled the city across the Charri river into Camernoon. Since February, most have since returned to the capital city. Here is a pic I found showing one of the border crossings:



Meanwhile while all of this was going on, members of a French charity were arrested for being involved in a scam that stole children from their parents and send them to Europe and the US as orphans up for adoption. Needless to say, the case became huge not just in Chad, but in the rest of Africa and in Europe as well (of course the US media was too busy reporting on the latest celebrity gossip to notice this story).



So now you know a little about one of the most shittiest places on Earth (sorry for the blunt language, but s***hole is the only word that can describe what it really is).

Thursday, June 5, 2008

The Vice Presidential Issue, Part 2

First of all, I have to congratulate Senator Obama for finally defeating Senator Clinton on Tuesday as he reached the golden number needed to win the nomination! And with Clinton "suspending" her campaign, Obama is the certain nominee. Regardless of what you think of Obama, you have to respect this man. Just a few years ago, he was unknown outside of Chicago and the Illinois State Senate. Now he has taken on the most powerful, dynamic, and organized powerhouse couple since Franklin and Eleanor Roosevelt and won. I will devote a future issue explain how this occurred, but first I have to finish what I started last week and introduce you to the possible Democratic VP candidates.

First though, with Hillary dropping out of the race (or as the term Mitt Romney and John Edwards used this Spring, "suspend"), our final Hillary joke of the blog:



Now on today's topic:

The Vice Presidential Issue, Part 2, Democrats

Last week I put the Republican candidates for VP into 2 categories, based on their chances of becoming McCain's running mate, but with the Democratic race just being settled, and with Obama and his people saying it may take a while before a choice is made, I'm going to put the candidates into one single category. The exception will be the first one, and it will be clear why because she is:

Hillary Clinton


Back in 2006, when everyone assumed Hillary was going to be the nominee, alot of people talked about having Obama, the rising star of the party, as her VP, uniting the various factions of the Democratic Party under a dream team which would win the White House in a landslide. Now, if it is going to happen, it will be the reverse and it will only be to keep the party from imploding. However, if Hillary really wants it, she will have it because of the leverage she has from coming in a close second, and with many of her followers screaming that they will never vote for Obama, it may be the only way to keep mass defections of older white women and Mid Western blue collar workers, both groups who are critical to winning the White House this fall. The question, however, should be does Hillary really want to be Vice President Hillary? Remember, the constitution gives the Vice President only two jobs: to break ties in the Senate, and to take over if something happens to the President. And after eight years of Satan (sorry, I mean Dick Cheney, I'm always confusing the two), the most powerful VP in US history, most Americans want a more traditional Vice President who goes on Jay Leno and make goodwill trips to nations most people never heard of. There are many more jobs that Hillary can get that have real power. If Hillary does not take the VP nomination, but goes out and campaigns hard for Obama, watch her get some other position should he be elected. Perhaps Justice Hillary on the Supreme Court, or Secretary (fill in the gap) Hillary in the Cabinet, or Governor Hillary of New York, or maybe Ambassador Hillary to the UN. However, don't forget the 800 pound gorilla in the closet, Bill Clinton.

Pros: She's Hillary Rodham Clinton.

Cons: She's Hillary Rodham Clinton.



Kathleen Sebelius

Governor of Kansas since 2003, Sebelius is a popular Democrat in one of the most Republican states in the nation (remember, Kansas is the state where they tried to take science out of the classroom). While she could never get elected in a liberal state like Vermont or Oregon, Sebelius, a practicing Catholic, is the type of Democrat who can win in the more conservative parts of the US. That does not mean she is a DINO (Democrat In Name Only). She is in favor of reproduction rights, is opposed to the death penalty, and has stood up to the gun lobby. Though she had originally won due to a split in the Kansas Republican Party, she has now become one of the most respected and popular governors in recent history.

Pros: Has five years experience in running Kansas, also is 13 years older than Obama, which would be a good age balance. Moderate views will definitely help with older and more conservative voters.

Cons: Even with her popularity, she cannot put Kansas and its 6 electoral votes into play, the state is way too conservative. Also is not the greatest speaker in the world, which only looks worst compared with Obama's orator skills.

Bill Richardson

Governor of New Mexico since 2003, Richardson has the perfect resume to balance the newcomer Obama. Richardson got his start in the 1980's when he was a congressman representing New Mexico's 3rd district. Later on during the Clinton years, he went to work for them first as Ambassador to the UN and later in the Cabinet as Secretary of Energy. As governor, Richardson has been a major supporter of decriminalization of marijuana and a die hard supporter for rights of homosexuals. However, he is also a supporter of rights of gun owners, and has supported business friendly tax laws that most Democrats would never support. And, despite his gringo name, 3 out of 4 of Richardson's grandparents were Mexican (his parental grandfather, who he was named after, was the only American in the family). Richardson's mother, Maria Luisa Lopez Collada Marquez, only moved to the US when she was pregnant with Bill. After a couple of years in the US she brought her family back to Mexico and Richardson spent his childhood in Mexico City before moving back to the US for good. As such, Richardson, who grew up speaking Spanish, considers himself to the a Latino and is well known and very popular in the Hispanic community.

Pros: Will deliver New Mexico and its 5 electoral votes. Popularity among Hispanics will put Texas and Arizona into play and there's a good chance he can clinch Nevada, which is already in play. Resume will balance Obama's perfectly.

Cons: Richarson is just a little too pro big business for most Democrats, also is well known as a loose cannon who shoots his mouth off. Finally, Richardson may not want the VP job. If he's not the nominee, he will definitely be a major player in an Obama administration.

Joe Biden

Senator from Delaware since 1973, Biden has a resume that also balances Obama's through his long term service on two of the most powerful committees in the Senate: The Judiciary Committee and the Foreign Affairs Committee. Biden was a strong supporter of the Iraq War in the beginning, but has now been very vocal in calling for a change in policy that's neither total withdrawal nor stay the course. Also, Biden has been a vocal supporter on making higher education easier for poorer families.


Pros: Long term Senate service balances Obama's. Definitely will help win over some of those who want a tougher foreign policy.


Cons: Delaware has only 3 electoral votes. Also, Biden doesn't create excitement the way other VP candidates have cause.




Jim Webb



Senator from Virginia since 2007, and like Obama a fellow survivor of an epic election, Webb is one of the more conservative members of the Democratic Party. In fact, he was a Republican only until 2006. Back in the 1980's he was secretary of the Navy under Reagan. A graduate of the Naval Academy, Webb has been a major opponent of the Iraqi War (though he's opposed to immediate total withdrawal) and has been very vocal in opposing any military action with Iran. Webb's family has "redneck" roots and he's very proud of it, writing a book on the history of the Scotch Irish, the ethnic group whose culture he claims developed into the "hillbilly/redneck" culture of the upper South.


Pros: Will clinch the deal for Virgina and its 13 electoral votes and will put North Carolina and its 15 electoral votes into play, and could even get West Virgina and Kentucky back into play. Being a moderate will balance the more liberal Obama.


Con: Has been in elected office even less than Obama. Also service in the Reagan Administration may turn off more liberal Democrats.



Claire McCaskill



Senator from Missouri since 2007, McCaskill is a rising star in the Democratic Party and has been a major Obama supporter since the beginning. McCaskill herself went through an epic election battle, winning by a very slim margin in one of the most divided states in the nation (Missouri has about an equal number of anti war/socially progressive liberals and conservatives who are all for guns, God, and Bush). In the Senate, she's been very active, going after wasteful spending, exposing corruption in the government, working to get better medical treatment for wounded soldiers, and pushing to raise the minimum wage. Will definitely be a major figure in an Obama administration.



Pros: Will probably deliver Missouri and its 11 electoral votes. Will defiantly help with the older female voters who are very disappointed Hillary is not the nominee.


Cons: Has been in the Senate for only 2 years and her only other elected office was Auditor of the State of Missouri.


So there are the potential VP nominees for both parties. However, this election being what it is, don't be surprise if one of both candidates pick someone from outside this group.