First of all, I have to congratulate Senator Obama for finally defeating Senator Clinton on Tuesday as he reached the golden number needed to win the nomination! And with Clinton "suspending" her campaign, Obama is the certain nominee. Regardless of what you think of Obama, you have to respect this man. Just a few years ago, he was unknown outside of Chicago and the Illinois State Senate. Now he has taken on the most powerful, dynamic, and organized powerhouse couple since Franklin and Eleanor Roosevelt and won. I will devote a future issue explain how this occurred, but first I have to finish what I started last week and introduce you to the possible Democratic VP candidates.
First though, with Hillary dropping out of the race (or as the term Mitt Romney and John Edwards used this Spring, "suspend"), our final Hillary joke of the blog:
Now on today's topic:
The Vice Presidential Issue, Part 2, Democrats
Last week I put the Republican candidates for VP into 2 categories, based on their chances of becoming McCain's running mate, but with the Democratic race just being settled, and with Obama and his people saying it may take a while before a choice is made, I'm going to put the candidates into one single category. The exception will be the first one, and it will be clear why because she is:
Hillary Clinton Back in 2006, when everyone assumed Hillary was going to be the nominee, alot of people talked about having Obama, the rising star of the party, as her VP, uniting the various factions of the Democratic Party under a dream team which would win the White House in a landslide. Now, if it is going to happen, it will be the reverse and it will only be to keep the party from imploding. However, if Hillary really wants it, she will have it because of the leverage she has from coming in a close second, and with many of her followers screaming that they will never vote for Obama, it may be the only way to keep mass defections of older white women and Mid Western blue collar workers, both groups who are critical to winning the White House this fall. The question, however, should be does Hillary
really want to be Vice President Hillary? Remember, the constitution gives the Vice President only two jobs: to break ties in the Senate, and to take over if something happens to the President. And after eight years of Satan (sorry, I mean Dick Cheney, I'm always confusing the two), the most powerful VP in US history, most Americans want a more traditional Vice President who goes on Jay Leno and make goodwill trips to nations most people never heard of. There are many more jobs that Hillary can get that have real power. If Hillary does not take the VP nomination, but goes out and campaigns hard for Obama, watch her get some other position should he be elected. Perhaps Justice Hillary on the Supreme Court, or Secretary (fill in the gap) Hillary in the Cabinet, or Governor Hillary of New York, or maybe Ambassador Hillary to the UN. However, don't forget the 800 pound gorilla in the closet, Bill Clinton.
Pros: She's Hillary Rodham Clinton.
Cons: She's Hillary Rodham Clinton.
Kathleen SebeliusGovernor of Kansas since 2003, Sebelius is a popular Democrat in one of the most Republican states in the nation (remember, Kansas is the state where they tried to take science out of the classroom). While she could never get elected in a liberal state like Vermont or Oregon, Sebelius, a practicing Catholic, is the type of Democrat who can win in the more conservative parts of the US. That does not mean she is a DINO (Democrat In Name Only). She is in favor of reproduction rights, is opposed to the death penalty, and has stood up to the gun lobby. Though she had originally won due to a split in the Kansas Republican Party, she has now become one of the most respected and popular governors in recent history.
Pros: Has five years experience in running Kansas, also is 13 years older than Obama, which would be a good age balance. Moderate views will definitely help with older and more conservative voters.
Cons: Even with her popularity, she cannot put Kansas and its 6 electoral votes into play, the state is way too conservative. Also is not the greatest speaker in the world, which only looks worst compared with Obama's orator skills.
Bill Richardson
Governor of New Mexico since 2003, Richardson has the perfect resume to balance the newcomer Obama. Richardson got his start in the 1980's when he was a congressman representing New Mexico's 3rd district. Later on during the Clinton years, he went to work for them first as Ambassador to the UN and later in the Cabinet as Secretary of Energy. As governor, Richardson has been a major supporter of decriminalization of marijuana and a die hard supporter for rights of homosexuals. However, he is also a supporter of rights of gun owners, and has supported business friendly tax laws that most Democrats would never support. And, despite his gringo name, 3 out of 4 of Richardson's grandparents were Mexican (his parental grandfather, who he was named after, was the only American in the family). Richardson's mother, Maria Luisa Lopez Collada Marquez, only moved to the US when she was pregnant with Bill. After a couple of years in the US she brought her family back to Mexico and Richardson spent his childhood in Mexico City before moving back to the US for good. As such, Richardson, who grew up speaking Spanish, considers himself to the a Latino and is well known and very popular in the Hispanic community.
Pros: Will deliver New Mexico and its 5 electoral votes. Popularity among Hispanics will put Texas and Arizona into play and there's a good chance he can clinch Nevada, which is already in play. Resume will balance Obama's perfectly.
Cons: Richarson is just a little too pro big business for most Democrats, also is well known as a loose cannon who shoots his mouth off. Finally, Richardson may not want the VP job. If he's not the nominee, he will definitely be a major player in an Obama administration.
Joe Biden
Senator from Delaware since 1973, Biden has a resume that also balances Obama's through his long term service on two of the most powerful committees in the Senate: The Judiciary Committee and the Foreign Affairs Committee. Biden was a strong supporter of the Iraq War in the beginning, but has now been very vocal in calling for a change in policy that's neither total withdrawal nor stay the course. Also, Biden has been a vocal supporter on making higher education easier for poorer families.
Pros: Long term Senate service balances Obama's. Definitely will help win over some of those who want a tougher foreign policy.
Cons: Delaware has only 3 electoral votes. Also, Biden doesn't create excitement the way other VP candidates have cause.
Jim WebbSenator from Virginia since 2007, and like Obama a fellow survivor of an epic election, Webb is one of the more conservative members of the Democratic Party. In fact, he was a Republican only until 2006. Back in the 1980's he was secretary of the Navy under Reagan. A graduate of the Naval Academy, Webb has been a major opponent of the Iraqi War (though he's opposed to immediate total withdrawal) and has been very vocal in opposing any military action with Iran. Webb's family has "redneck" roots and he's very proud of it, writing a book on the history of the Scotch Irish, the ethnic group whose culture he claims developed into the "hillbilly/redneck" culture of the upper South.
Pros: Will clinch the deal for Virgina and its 13 electoral votes and will put North Carolina and its 15 electoral votes into play, and could even get West Virgina and Kentucky back into play. Being a moderate will balance the more liberal Obama.
Con: Has been in elected office even less than Obama. Also service in the Reagan Administration may turn off more liberal Democrats.
Claire McCaskillSenator from Missouri since 2007, McCaskill is a rising star in the Democratic Party and has been a major Obama supporter since the beginning. McCaskill herself went through an epic election battle, winning by a very slim margin in one of the most divided states in the nation (Missouri has about an equal number of anti war/socially progressive liberals and conservatives who are all for guns, God, and Bush). In the Senate, she's been very active, going after wasteful spending, exposing corruption in the government, working to get better medical treatment for wounded soldiers, and pushing to raise the minimum wage. Will definitely be a major figure in an Obama administration.
Pros: Will probably deliver Missouri and its 11 electoral votes. Will defiantly help with the older female voters who are very disappointed Hillary is not the nominee.
Cons: Has been in the Senate for only 2 years and her only other elected office was Auditor of the State of Missouri.
So there are the potential VP nominees for both parties. However, this election being what it is, don't be surprise if one of both candidates pick someone from outside this group.